Credits: 3 (3-0-0)
Description
Module I : Forecasting as an input to technology planning, Futures Research, Elements of forecasting process. Types of forecasting methods. Quantitative methods of forecasting: time series models, growth curves, Precursor, Envelope curves, Experience curves, technical assessment.
Module II : Qualitative methods: Morphological analysis, Relevance trees, Delphi, Technological gap analysis, Analogy method, Organising for Technology Forecasting.
Module III : Technology assessment: Components, problem definition, Social description, Measure, Impact assessment. Strategies for assessment, Economic impact analysis. Assessment of risk and uncertainty. Safety and environment considerations.